Hyperliquid (HIP-4)
Decentralized derivatives protocol that launched prediction markets in May 2026 via HIP-4.
Regulatory posture
- Crypto-native venue activated the HIP-4 prediction-market protocol on mainnet May 2, 2026 with a zero open-fee structure.
- A direct competitive threat to onshore DCMs for crypto-affinity flow.
- Operates outside the US regulatory perimeter; accessible to US residents via VPN, creating a regulatory-arbitrage risk that may draw CFTC enforcement attention.
Licensing
- DCM
- Unregulated (offshore / on-chain)
- SEF
- N/A
- State coverage
- Not US-licensed; available via VPN
Products
Development timeline
Dated developments compiled for this operator, newest first. Select an entry for the full detail.
- September 16, 2026
Payward named Bitnomial and NinjaTrader Clearing as the regulated entities for its Hyperliquid onshore plan
Payward (Kraken's parent) said September 16 it plans to list Hyperliquid HIP-3 perpetuals for US clients under Bitnomial Exchange, the CFTC-regulated DCM it acquired for $550 million, with client accounts carried by its own registered FCM, NinjaTrader Clearing, and trade matching still occurring on Hyperliquid's public blockchain. It is the first time the wrapper structure floated in late-August reporting (ai-hyperliquid-20260901) has named specific regulated entities rather than describing an outline under CFTC discussion; Payward disclosed no approval, launch date, or economic terms with Hyperliquid (ai-hyperliquid-20260917).
- September 9, 2026
Hyperliquid Policy Center filed an amicus brief backing the CFTC against CME's BTCPERP suit
The Hyperliquid Policy Center, represented by former Solicitor General Elizabeth Prelogar, filed an amicus brief in the U.S. District Court for D.C. supporting the CFTC and asking the court to dismiss CME Group's suit over Kalshi's BTCPERP approval (law-cme-v-cftc), arguing CME lacks standing and that Kalshi is not a new market entrant; its third direct engagement with CFTC-adjacent litigation or rulemaking in as many months (following the July 27 and August 26 comment letters), continuing the policy arm's pattern of proactively shaping the regulatory and litigation landscape for perpetual/event contracts rather than waiting for its own compliant US pathway to be resolved.
- September 4, 2026
Trump said the CFTC is working to bring Hyperliquid onshore "in a fully compliant and legal fashion"
The Block reported additional detail on President Trump's push to bring Hyperliquid onshore "in a fully compliant and legal fashion": the operative structure remains Payward (Kraken's parent) partnering with CFTC-regulated Bitnomial to offer US users crypto perpetuals linked to Hyperliquid markets rather than direct access to the offshore venue, with former SEC counsel Ashley Ebersole estimating the needed CFTC/SEC rule revisions could still take up to a year (ai-hyperliquid-20260906).
- August 31, 2026
Bloomberg reported August 31, 2026 that Payward (Kraken's parent) is in advanced talks to list a limited set
Bloomberg reported August 31, 2026 that Payward (Kraken's parent) is in advanced talks to list a limited set of Hyperliquid-linked perpetuals on its CFTC-regulated Bitnomial exchange, giving US traders regulated access to products mirroring Hyperliquid's markets without touching the decentralized platform directly; still pre-filing, with regulators not expected to resolve the custody/routing questions for 10-12 months.
- August 31, 2026
Bloomberg reported August 31, 2026 that Hyperliquid Labs is in advanced talks with Kraken parent Payward
Bloomberg reported August 31, 2026 that Hyperliquid Labs is in advanced talks with Kraken parent Payward to route a limited set of Hyperliquid-linked crypto perpetuals to US traders through Payward's CFTC-regulated Bitnomial exchange/clearing stack (lic-bitnomial-na), rather than connecting US users directly to Hyperliquid's decentralized platform. Payward has presented the CFTC an outline of the structure, but no formal filing or approval exists yet, and outside counsel estimates a further 10-12 months before SEC/CFTC custody-and-routing questions are resolved — the first concrete structural step toward the compliant US pathway President Trump floated in general terms on August 19.
Show 8 earlier developmentsCollapse earlier developments
- August 26, 2026
Submitted a comment letter with TradeXYZ on August 26
Submitted a comment letter with TradeXYZ on August 26, 2026 urging the CFTC to adopt a technology-neutral, principles-based framework for crude oil perpetual contracts rather than product-specific rules, its second CFTC comment filing in a month as it lobbies for a compliant US pathway.
- August 26, 2026
The Hyperliquid Policy Center and TradeXYZ filed a further CFTC comment letter on August 26
The Hyperliquid Policy Center and TradeXYZ filed a further CFTC comment letter on August 26, 2026 — its second policy-engagement filing in a month, following the July 27 jurisdiction letter — this time urging a technology-neutral framework for crude oil perpetual contracts, continuing the pattern of proactively shaping CFTC rulemaking rather than waiting for enforcement.
- August 19, 2026
HYPE token rose roughly 17% within 24 hours of Trump's August 19 remark floating a compliant US pathway via
HYPE token rose roughly 17% within 24 hours of Trump's August 19 remark floating a compliant US pathway via the CFTC, though no formal regulatory process has been confirmed.
- August 19, 2026
President Trump said August 19, 2026 that CFTC Chairman Michael Selig is
President Trump said August 19, 2026 that CFTC Chairman Michael Selig is "working to bring Hyperliquid into the United States in a fully compliant and legal fashion" — a public statement of intent with no accompanying filing, timeline, or formal regulatory designation, and no change yet to Hyperliquid's unlicensed status.
- July 27, 2026
Its policy arm (Hyperliquid Policy Center) engaged the CFTC's rulemaking process directly for the first time
Its policy arm (Hyperliquid Policy Center) engaged the CFTC's rulemaking process directly for the first time, filing a joint comment letter with Multicoin Capital (July 27) backing exclusive CFTC federal jurisdiction over event contracts.
- July 20, 2026
On July 20, 2026, opened HIP-4 to any developer who stakes 500,000 HYPE tokens
On July 20, 2026, opened HIP-4 to any developer who stakes 500,000 HYPE tokens (~$31.7M, locked six months and slashable for bad markets), letting outside builders deploy their own permissionless prediction markets and earn up to 50% of trading fees — framed explicitly as a challenge to Polymarket.
- Mid-June 2026
Full permissionless deployment was slated for mid-June to coincide with the FIFA World Cup
- May 2026
Its first BTC outcome market traded 6.05M contracts on day one
Its first BTC outcome market traded 6.05M contracts on day one, achieving 3x the volume of equivalent Kalshi/Polymarket markets in initial trading.
Regulatory history
No enforcement actions matching this operator by name.
Recent activity
Sia Insights
Sia's analysis from broader market, trading, and industry-press signals. Not a primary regulatory source and not legal advice.
- Sep 17, 2026hyperliquidpaywardkrakenbitnomialninjatradercftc
Payward (Kraken's parent) said September 16 it plans to list Hyperliquid HIP-3 perpetuals for US clients under Bitnomial Exchange, the CFTC-regulated designated contract market it acquired for $550 million, with accounts carried by its own registered FCM, NinjaTrader Clearing, and trade matching still occurring on Hyperliquid's public blockchain. It is the first time the wrapper structure floated in late August reporting has been named with specific regulated entities attached rather than described as an outline under CFTC discussion, though Payward disclosed no approval, launch date, fee schedule, or economic terms with Hyperliquid, so the plan remains a public commitment rather than a completed onshore pathway.
- Sep 6, 2026hyperliquidtrumpbitnomialpaywardcftcsec
The Block reported more detail on President Trump's push to bring Hyperliquid onshore "in a fully compliant and legal fashion": the operative structure remains Payward (Kraken's parent) partnering with CFTC-regulated Bitnomial to offer US users crypto perpetuals linked to Hyperliquid markets, rather than direct access to the offshore venue itself, with former SEC counsel Ashley Ebersole estimating the needed CFTC/SEC rule revisions could still take up to a year. The trade-off framing — KYC and fund protections in exchange for fewer markets and lower leverage than offshore Hyperliquid — suggests any US product will be a materially constrained wrapper rather than a port of the existing platform, even with presidential-level backing accelerating the regulatory timeline.
- Sep 1, 2026hyperliquidpaywardkrakenbitnomialcftc
Bloomberg reported Hyperliquid Labs is in advanced talks with Kraken parent Payward to route a limited slate of Hyperliquid-linked crypto perpetuals to US traders through Payward's CFTC-regulated Bitnomial stack, rather than connecting users directly to Hyperliquid's decentralized markets. It is the first concrete structural proposal behind President Trump's August 19 remark that regulators were working to bring Hyperliquid onshore, though Payward has only presented an outline to the CFTC so far and outside counsel expects 10-12 months before the SEC and CFTC resolve the custody and routing questions a wrapper structure like this raises.
- Aug 25, 2026hyperliquidseccftcperpetual-contractspolicy
The Hyperliquid Policy Center urged the SEC and CFTC on August 24 to adopt a harmonized regulatory framework for perpetual contracts based on economic structure rather than underlying asset type, arguing the current asset-by-asset approach was built for products that have been commercially dormant for years. The push comes as Hyperliquid's multi-asset perpetuals have drawn roughly $480 billion in HIP-3 trading volume over ten months and pointed manipulation and registration concerns from incumbents like CME and ICE, the same jurisdictional fault line already playing out in the CFTC's event-contract oversight of Kalshi.
- Aug 21, 2026hyperliquidsecpre-ipo-perpetualspolicy-proposal
The Hyperliquid Policy Center and trade[XYZ] filed a joint comment letter with the SEC on August 18 proposing a regulatory framework for "IPOPs" (pre-IPO perpetual contracts) — cash-settled derivatives tracking the expected value of pre-public companies, with no ownership, voting, or IPO-allocation rights attached. The pitch leans on Hyperliquid's own market history (Cerebras, SK Hynix, and SpaceX all opened materially above the level Hyperliquid's pre-listing perps had signaled) and asks regulators to set leverage, settlement, and disclosure rules rather than treat the product as unregulated speculation. Coming a day before Trump's White House remark on a compliant US pathway for Hyperliquid (ai-hyperliquid-20260820), the filing reads as Hyperliquid trying to shape the eventual rulebook proactively rather than simply waiting on the CFTC's onshore-pathway process.
- Aug 20, 2026hyperliquidcftcpolitical-signalhype-token
Trump's August 19 remark that CFTC Chair Selig is working to bring Hyperliquid into the US "in a fully compliant and legal fashion" is a political signal, not a regulatory one: no filing, docket, or CFTC statement accompanied it, and Hyperliquid's HIP-4 markets remain accessible to US users only via VPN. The market reaction (HYPE up roughly 17% in 24 hours) suggests traders are pricing in a future onshore pathway well ahead of any concrete CFTC action, a gap between sentiment and process that has previously preceded volatile reversals when official follow-through lags political rhetoric in this sector.
- Aug 3, 2026hip-4-testnetpermissionlessregulatory-gap
Hyperliquid moved its HIP-4 permissionless-deployment feature from proposal to practice on July 31, confirming an initial testnet implementation that lets any developer deploy an outcome market, with the team flagging configurable fees and more templates before a mainnet rollout. The step-by-step rollout (announced July 20, live on testnet July 31) suggests Hyperliquid is deliberately pacing the permissionless model rather than rushing it to mainnet, even as it continues to operate entirely outside the CFTC-regulated perimeter governing every DCM on this platform.
- Jul 31, 2026hip-4permissionlessregulatory-gap
Hyperliquid's July 20 HIP-4 upgrade proposal would let any developer launch a prediction market by staking 500,000 HYPE, with market creators earning up to 50% of trading fees — a permissionless, validator-governed model with no analog among the CFTC-regulated DCMs on this list, and one US regulators have not yet had to confront directly.
Scoring is illustrative and based on public information. SiaPredict does not provide legal advice.
