SiaPredict

Licensing Tracker

DCM, SEF, and no-action applications in the US prediction markets space.

36 of 36 applications
ApplicantTypeAppliedStatusExpectedBlockersMost Recent News
BEBitnomial Exchange, LLC
No-ActionNov 13, 2025ApprovedGranted January 2026Aug 31, 2026
BDBlockchain.com Derivatives Inc
FCMAug 26, 2026SubmittedPending NFA review; identity/relevance unconfirmedAug 27, 2026
RFRiver Finance LLC (River Markets)
FCMAug 18, 2026SubmittedPending NFA reviewAug 18, 2026
NVNew Venture III LLC (FanDuel's second, independently owned FCM)
FCMApr 9, 2026SubmittedPending NFA reviewAug 16, 2026
RPRebet Predictions LLC (Rebet affiliate)
FCMJun 11, 2026SubmittedPending NFA reviewAug 16, 2026
FFFliff FCM LLC (Fliff affiliate)
FCMAug 12, 2026SubmittedPending NFA reviewAug 12, 2026
OMOnyx Markets LLC (Onyx Odds affiliate)
FCMAug 12, 2026SubmittedPending NFA reviewAug 12, 2026
ADAlpaca Derivatives LLC (Alpaca Markets affiliate)
FCMAug 6, 2026ApprovedN/A — approved, not yet operationalAug 6, 2026
FMFanatics Markets (via acquisition of Water Street Labs / CX Clearinghouse)
DCMJul 27, 2026ApprovedClosing subject to customary conditionsJul 27, 2026
APApex Prediction Markets (Apex Clearing Corporation, Apex Fintech Solutions)
FCMFeb 3, 2026ApprovedN/A — approvedJul 27, 2026
DPDraftKings Predictions
FCMJul 14, 2026ApprovedN/A — approvedJul 14, 2026
PDPM Derivatives LLC (Polymarket affiliate, "Coming Home GBA")
FCMJul 3, 2026SubmittedReview pending; CFTC approval still required before launch1 blockerJul 3, 2026
LELudlow Exchange LLC (Novig affiliate)
DCMDec 15, 2025ApprovedApproved June 16, 2026Jun 16, 2026
PProphetX
DCMNov 10, 2025ApprovedApproved June 11, 2026Jun 11, 2026
QLQCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US
DCMJul 14, 2025ApprovedApproved November 25, 20252 blockersMay 12, 2026
RSRothera (Robinhood / Susquehanna / MIAX JV)
DCMJan 20, 2026ApprovedOperating under MIAXdx DCM; first event contracts listing on or after May 20, 2026Apr 30, 2026
KMKinetic Markets LLC (Kalshi affiliate)
FCMMar 24, 2026ApprovedN/A — approvedApr 27, 2026
SBSmarkets Board of Trade Exchange LLC
DCMFeb 1, 2026SubmittedReview pendingApr 15, 2026
XEXV Exchange (STX technology stack)
DCMMar 10, 2026SubmittedReview pendingApr 15, 2026
DDimeTrades
DCMMar 25, 2026SubmittedReview pendingApr 15, 2026
FMFanatics Markets FCM (Morton St Trading Investments LLC)
FCMAug 1, 2025ApprovedN/A — approvedMar 31, 2026
AEAristotle Exchange DCM, Inc.
DCMNov 1, 2024ApprovedApproved September 5, 2025Mar 9, 2026
KDKraken Derivatives US (NinjaTrader Clearing LLC, Kraken affiliate)
FCMJul 15, 2025ApprovedN/A — approvedMar 3, 2026
SSporttrade
DCMJan 27, 2026Under ReviewH2 2026 at earliest (12-18 months typical)1 blockerFeb 4, 2026
MLMIAXdx (formerly LedgerX)
No-ActionNov 15, 2025ApprovedGranted December 11, 2025Jan 20, 2026
UPUnderdog Predict (UDM LLC)
FCMApr 3, 2025ApprovedN/A — approvedJan 13, 2026
SMSleeper Markets LLC (Sleeper)
FCMMay 1, 2025ApprovedN/A — approvedJan 9, 2026
GTGemini Titan LLC
DCMMar 10, 2020ApprovedApproved December 10, 2025 (~5-year review)1 blockerDec 11, 2025
RERailbird Exchange, LLC
DCMNov 17, 2023ApprovedApproved June 13, 2025Oct 22, 2025
CDCrypto.com Derivatives North America
DCMJan 1, 2004ApprovedOriginally designated 2004 as HedgeStreet; change-of-control approved 20221 blockerSep 30, 2025
PPPrizePicks Predict (Performance Predictions II LLC, a SidePrize LLC subsidiary)
FCMMay 28, 2025ApprovedN/A — approvedSep 23, 2025
FPFanDuel Prediction Markets LLC (f/k/a F&O Financial LLC; CME/FanDuel joint-venture FCM)
FCMAug 20, 2025ApprovedN/A — approvedAug 28, 2025
KLKalshiEX LLC — Congressional Control Contracts
OtherJun 12, 2023DeniedDisapproved September 22, 2023; disapproval vacated in 20242 blockersMay 5, 2025
FLForecastEx LLC (Interactive Brokers)
DCMOct 25, 2023ApprovedApproved June 24, 2024Jun 24, 2024
VUVictoria University of Wellington (PredictIt)
No-ActionOct 29, 2014ApprovedIssued Oct 2014; rescission attempted 2022; enjoined 20232 blockersJul 21, 2023
KLKalshiEX LLC
DCMDec 30, 2019ApprovedApproved November 2020Nov 4, 2020