Kalshi
CFTC-regulated DCM that pioneered the modern US event-contract category.
Regulatory posture
- Federally regulated DCM operating nationwide; aggressively litigating CEA preemption against state regulators (Third Circuit win, AZ federal PI, Tennessee TRO; losses in MD district court, 6th Cir. stay, WA remand).
- CEO Tarek Mansour confirmed an IPO is under consideration; a listing is not expected before 2027.
Licensing
- DCM
- Approved
- SEF
- N/A
- FCM
- Approved (Kinetic Markets LLC, NFA, March 24, 2026)
- State coverage
- Final order in Washington geofences sports/elections/politics/entertainment/culture/tech-science/mentions by Aug 19-Sep 2 (commodities/climate/economics/finance unaffected); also blocked in Nevada (Ninth Circuit affirmed PI dissolution Aug 28, Kalshi to seek further review), Utah (final judgment; Tenth Circuit denied stay pending appeal Sept 8, state free to enforce), Iowa (PI denied Sept 8), and now Michigan (Sept 1 preliminary injunction, $500,000/day for noncompliance); Connecticut PI bid denied August 10, now also directly sued by the state (Aug 26); also sued by Baltimore (Aug 13); active litigation in 15+ states
Filings on the tracker (3)
Licensing Tracker- FCMKinetic Markets LLC (Kalshi affiliate)ApprovedApr 27, 2026
- OtherKalshiEX LLC — Congressional Control ContractsDeniedMay 5, 2025
- DCMKalshiEX LLCApprovedNov 4, 2020
Products
Development timeline
Dated developments compiled for this operator, newest first. Select an entry for the full detail.
- September 22, 2026
CFTC staff advisory flagged its 'mention market' contracts as presumptively susceptible to manipulation
The CFTC's Division of Market Oversight issued Staff Letter 26-27 on September 22, 2026, telling designated contract markets that contracts settling on a person's spoken words or other discrete individual conduct are presumptively susceptible to manipulation under Core Principle 3, raising the bar past routine Part 40 self-certification. The advisory does not ban the contracts, but cited the CFTC's own settlements against George Santos (July 31) and former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez (August 28) over conduct affecting mention-market outcomes; Kalshi is the leading operator of this contract category.
- September 22, 2026
Mexico's soccer federation sued over Liga MX trademark use in sports event contracts
The Federación Mexicana de Fútbol filed suit in the Southern District of New York alleging Kalshi used the LIGA MX trademark, club names, and FMF match data to settle sports event contracts without permission, continuing after repeated cease-and-desist demands. FMF seeks a TRO, injunctive relief, and disgorgement of profits from the contracts; Kalshi says its use was limited to plain-text identification in CFTC-regulated markets.
- September 22, 2026
Petitioned the Seventh Circuit to hear an interlocutory appeal in the Ho-Chunk Nation IGRA case
Kalshi asked the Seventh Circuit to accept an interlocutory appeal after Judge Conley certified, on September 11, two questions on whether tribal-ordinance violations are actionable under IGRA against a non-signatory and whether the CEA/UIGEA override IGRA on sports-event contracts, staying the underlying Wisconsin case pending appeal. Because Wisconsin sits outside the Ninth Circuit, the September 16 ruling for California tribes on similar IGRA theory is not binding here.
- September 22, 2026
Kalshi Klear sought CFTC approval to let institutions trade event contracts on margin
Kalshi Klear filed a Regulation 40.5 request on September 22, 2026, the 'Event Contract Margin Framework,' asking to end full-collateralization for institutional participants (FCMs and Kalshi Klear-approved self-clearing members), letting them post only part of a contract's value with margin scaling down toward resolution; sports and mention/culture markets are excluded. The filing also seeks a one-day rather than five-day default-liquidation window, with the CFTC given 45 days to review.
- September 21, 2026
Crypto lead disputed 'fake volume' allegations on its new ETH-PERP contract
Quantitative analyst "Beni" (Stealth Neolab) alleged manipulation on Kalshi's newly launched ether perpetual futures contract, citing a 24-hour volume of $539 million against only $3.1 million in open interest and repetitive $5,500 trades accounting for up to 58% of daily volume across four separate days. Kalshi crypto lead IcoBeast.eth responded that the initial comparison misidentified prediction-market share as perpetual volume, that Kalshi's volume convention (reporting maximum payout value, matching Polymarket's methodology) inflates headline figures versus upfront cash, and that Self-Clearing Member status is open to any qualified firm rather than a closed club.
Show 72 earlier developmentsCollapse earlier developments
- September 18, 2026
Filed with the CFTC and SEC for single-stock perpetual futures, alongside a competing Coinbase bid
Kalshi filed proposals with the CFTC and SEC on September 18, 2026 to list perpetual futures on individual US stocks, including Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Amazon, to be cleared through its own CFTC-registered clearinghouse, Kalshi Klear. Coinbase filed a competing proposal the same day, and Kraken parent Payward's Bitnomial Exchange followed with a similar filing covering ten equities, turning Kalshi's stated intent from September 11 (ai-kalshi-20260911) into a concrete filing that sharpens the SEC-versus-CFTC jurisdiction question Citadel Securities raised on September 10 (upd-sec-028).
- September 18, 2026
Tunica-Biloxi Tribe partnered with Kalshi on the first tribal-nation prediction-market app
The Tunica-Biloxi Tribe of Louisiana's new subsidiary, SaltTrade Derivatives, will operate the first tribal-nation prediction-market app on Kalshi's infrastructure, relying on the CFTC's September 17 no-action letter for passive software providers (upd-cftc-067) rather than registering as an introducing broker. CEO Tarek Mansour published an open letter encouraging other tribes to follow, an overture that stands in contrast to Kalshi's active IGRA litigation with tribes elsewhere, including its September 16 loss to California's Blue Lake Rancheria and Chicken Ranch Rancheria.
- September 17, 2026
Eighth Circuit docketed Kalshi's appeal of its Iowa preliminary-injunction loss
The Eighth Circuit set a briefing schedule on September 17, 2026 for Kalshi's appeal (No. 26-2874) of Judge Locher's September 8 denial of a preliminary injunction against Iowa AG Brenna Bird (law-kalshi-v-iowa): the district court transcript is due October 27, Kalshi's opening brief and appendix November 6, Iowa's response 30 days later, and Kalshi's reply 21 days after that. The docketing brings prediction-market preemption litigation to a fourth federal circuit, alongside the Third, Sixth, and Ninth.
- September 16, 2026
Named in Missouri's six-operator cease-and-desist order
Missouri AG Catherine Hanaway ordered Kalshi, alongside five other operators, to stop offering sports event contracts to Missouri residents within 30 days or obtain a license from the Missouri Gaming Commission, saying she expects a settlement effort before any lawsuit (enf-mo-ag-six).
- September 16, 2026
Ninth Circuit ruled for two California tribes, reviving an IGRA injunction against its sports contracts on tribal land
A Ninth Circuit panel (No. 25-7504) ruled for Blue Lake Rancheria and Chicken Ranch Rancheria, reversing the district court's denial of a preliminary injunction and holding the tribes are likely to succeed in showing Kalshi's sports-event contracts constitute unauthorized Class III gaming under the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act, regardless of federal commodities regulation. The ruling reinstates injunctive relief blocking the contracts on the two tribes' reservations and follows the same panel's August 28 loss for Kalshi in Nevada.
- September 15, 2026
Ohio became the third state gaming regulator to leave the NCPG over Kalshi's donation
The Ohio Casino Control Commission withdrew from the National Council on Problem Gambling, becoming the third state gaming regulator confirmed to sever ties with the organization following its May 2026 acceptance of a two-year, $2 million commitment from Kalshi (upd-other-017). Ohio, which fined Kalshi $5 million in April for unlicensed sports betting (enf-ohio-ccc-kalshi), objected to being associated with an organization tied to a company it views as violating state law; Massachusetts has so far opted to remain a member but said it will revisit the decision at renewal.
- September 15, 2026
Testified at Texas Senate hearing on closing prediction-market 'gambling loopholes'
Kalshi's Robert Denault testified at a Texas Senate Committee on State Affairs informational hearing called on an interim charge from Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick to study prediction markets' use of federal registration to sidestep state gambling law, countering American Gaming Association arguments that sports event contracts are unlicensed sports bets by warning that prohibition would push Texans to unregulated offshore platforms. No legislation or litigation followed directly from the hearing.
- September 15, 2026
Tribal groups said CFTC Chairman Selig 'sat mostly silent' at a listening session on prediction markets
The CFTC held a listening session on September 15, 2026 with representatives of 17 tribal gaming organizations to discuss prediction markets and the agency's proposed event-contract rule. Indian Gaming Association Chair David Z. Bean said Chairman Michael Selig "sat mostly silent and refused to discuss his proposed rule," and tribal leaders characterized the session as falling short of the government-to-government consultation federal law requires, a contrast with the tribal partnership Kalshi announced three days later (upd-cftc-067).
- September 11, 2026
Said it will seek CFTC approval for about 60 single-stock and ETF perpetual futures, including Tesla and Nvidia
Kalshi said it will seek CFTC approval for roughly 60 single-stock and ETF perpetual futures, including Tesla and Nvidia, that would trade 24/7 with no expiration date, extending the perpetual-contract structure the CFTC approved for its bitcoin perpetual in May into single-name equities for the first time. The plan surfaced the same week Citadel Securities asked the SEC and CFTC to keep equity-linked event contracts under SEC jurisdiction (upd-sec-028), warning that CFTC self-certification could let an equity perpetual trade on leverage while the underlying stock market is closed or halted.
- September 11, 2026
ESMA said Kalshi lacks the authorization required to operate in the EU
The European Securities and Markets Authority's Risk Monitor 2/2026, published September 11, 2026, said marketing and selling event contracts in the EU generally requires an authorization that Kalshi does not hold, and questioned the effectiveness of its partial, VPN-circumventable geo-blocking of EU users.
- September 10, 2026
Began trading CFTC-cleared gold and silver perpetual futures, its first non-crypto perpetual product
Kalshi began trading CFTC-cleared perpetual futures on gold and silver the week of September 10, 2026, following a July filing — cash-settled, non-expiring contracts priced off Pyth Network feeds that trade continuously, including weekends and holidays. It is the first non-crypto asset class for Kalshi's perpetual-contract line, with equity-index, copper, and currency perpetual filings still pending.
- September 10, 2026
Petitioned the Ninth Circuit for en banc rehearing of its August 28 Nevada loss
Kalshi asked the full Ninth Circuit to rehear en banc the three-judge panel's August 28 ruling that Nevada may enforce its cease-and-desist against sports-event contracts (law-kalshi-v-hendrick-nv), pursuing rehearing rather than going straight to the Supreme Court. Robinhood and Crypto.com's Nadex unit instead filed their own Supreme Court cert petitions on the same underlying ruling on September 9 and September 11 respectively.
- September 10, 2026
Mark Moran, a Virginia Senate candidate banned for trading his own race, sued Kalshi
Mark Moran, the Virginia independent Senate candidate whom KalshiEX banned for five years in April 2026 over trades on his own race, sued Kalshi Inc. on September 10, 2026 in the Eastern District of Virginia (1:2026cv03008); the complaint's specific claims are not yet detailed in public reporting.
- September 9, 2026
Election and politics markets went live on data platform DoubleZero Edge ahead of the midterms
Kalshi's elections and politics markets went live on market-data delivery platform DoubleZero Edge on September 9, 2026, giving institutional and automated traders access to full-depth political prediction-market order books ahead of the November midterms — a distribution and infrastructure expansion rather than a new license or regulatory filing.
- September 9, 2026
Reannounced the Catalist Sports streaming deal with added regulatory-compliance language
Kalshi and Catalist Sports reannounced their multi-year live-streaming and data partnership on September 9, 2026, three weeks after the original August 18 announcement (comp-kalshi timeline, 2026-08-18) vanished from the internet within hours; the reannounced terms are largely the same — exclusive live streams and low-latency data across more than 65,000 tennis matches a year plus soccer, basketball, and ice hockey properties — but now state the streaming rights are "subject to applicable regulatory requirements," a compliance hedge not present in the original announcement.
- September 8, 2026
Tenth Circuit denied Kalshi's emergency stay bid, leaving Utah free to enforce
The Tenth Circuit denied Kalshi's emergency motion for an injunction pending appeal of the August 4 Utah summary judgment, finding Kalshi met none of the four factors required and leaving Utah free to enforce its gambling laws while the merits appeal proceeds (law-kalshi-v-utah) — the second federal appeals court, after the Sixth Circuit, to decline to pause state enforcement pending review of the preemption question.
- September 8, 2026
S.D. Iowa denied Kalshi's preliminary injunction bid against AG Bird
U.S. District Judge Stephen H. Locher denied Kalshi's motion for a preliminary injunction in its preemptive suit against Iowa AG Brenna Bird, holding Kalshi was unlikely to succeed on its CEA express-preemption theory and that Congress would have needed to speak clearly to displace Iowa's traditional police powers over gambling (law-kalshi-v-iowa) — the latest in a lengthening run of state and district-court losses on the same theory.
- September 8, 2026
NFL renewed its demand that DCMs drop 'objectionable' contracts ahead of kickoff
NFL Chief Compliance Officer Sabrina Perel sent a follow-up letter, copied to CFTC Chairman Selig, reiterating the league's March request that Kalshi and other operators drop contracts that are easily manipulated, cover subjects the NFL considers objectionable, relate to officiating, or rest on information knowable in advance (upd-other-067).
- September 4, 2026
Launched five more CFTC-regulated crypto perpetual contracts
Launched five more CFTC-regulated crypto perpetual contracts (BNB, Cardano, Worldcoin, Aave, Venice Token) on September 4, 2026 under its "American Perpetuals" line, bringing its altcoin perpetual roster to 17 with Stellar, Polkadot, and Hedera applications still pending — an expansion of the same product category CME is challenging in law-cme-v-cftc (ai-kalshi-20260904).
- September 2, 2026
Accused Washington of 'selective non-enforcement' for not also suing Polymarket
In an August 28, 2026 letter to Washington State Gambling Commission executive director Tina Griffin, publicly posted the same day, Kalshi head of litigation Jovy Dedaj accused Washington of "selective non-enforcement," arguing the state sued Kalshi under its geofencing injunction (law-wa-v-kalshi) while leaving Polymarket's offshore, unregistered platform free to offer the same prohibited sports/elections/entertainment contracts to Washington residents; the letter made the same argument to Michigan regulators. A Washington AG spokesperson replied that the state need not sue every operator at once to win judgment against one, calling Kalshi "the largest entity of its kind" — an equal-treatment argument that reads as public-pressure advocacy rather than a new court filing, surfacing September 2, 2026.
- September 2, 2026
The Block reported August volume of $37.17 billion
The Block reported August volume of $37.17 billion, down from July but still roughly 4.6x Polymarket's $8.16 billion — the pair's first combined monthly decline in a year, reported September 2, 2026.
- September 2026
Launched contracts ahead of NFL Week 1 letting traders wager on whether specific athletes will play
Launched contracts ahead of NFL Week 1 letting traders wager on whether specific athletes will play, framed as availability rather than injury markets (the contract language never asks users to predict an injury's occurrence or severity); the framing is a deliberate hedge against the CFTC's June NPRM, which would generally bar contracts on player injuries, but landed the same week Connecticut filed its new direct suit and is unlikely to satisfy the integrity concerns leagues and regulators have raised about injury-adjacent sports betting.
- September 1, 2026
Removed sports injury-duration contracts from its app around September 1
Removed sports injury-duration contracts from its app around September 1, 2026, after a CFTC source told Sportico the agency requested it; Kalshi had kept the contracts live even after Polymarket pulled comparable player-availability bets on August 31 and after its own "availability"-framed injury markets drew criticism the prior week, marking the point at which the CFTC's informal pressure, rather than Kalshi's own product framing, determined the outcome (upd-cftc-065).
- September 1, 2026
On September 1, 2026, Ingham County Circuit Judge Rosemarie Aquilina converted Michigan's June TRO
On September 1, 2026, Ingham County Circuit Judge Rosemarie Aquilina converted Michigan's June TRO into a preliminary injunction against KalshiEX, citing underage-bettor exposure, bypassed patron protections, and lost school/tribal funding, and requiring state-licensed geofencing under a $500,000-per-day penalty until final judgment (law-mi-v-kalshi) — the circuit split this feeds became formal on September 2, when New Jersey AG Jennifer Davenport filed the first Supreme Court certiorari petition on the merits question of who regulates sports-event contracts, citing the direct conflict between the pro-Kalshi Third Circuit Flaherty ruling and the Ninth Circuit's August 28 Nevada loss (law-kalshi-v-flaherty-nj).
- August 31, 2026
New York's AG office escalated its rhetoric on August 31
New York's AG office escalated its rhetoric on August 31, accusing the CFTC of using its emergency-order authority to advance Kalshi's litigation position in courts nationwide and calling the Commission's reliance on the order "irrelevant" to the pending state case (law-nyag-v-kalshi); separately, a new putative class action naming Kalshi and Robinhood, Pernas v. KalshiEX, was docketed in the Southern District of New York on August 31 with claims not yet detailed in public reporting (law-pernas-v-kalshi).
- August 28, 2026
The CFTC settled its second mention-markets insider-trading case on August 28
The CFTC settled its second mention-markets insider-trading case on August 28, 2026, against Gabriel Perez, a former White House teleprompter operator who traded Kalshi contracts on specific words in President Trump's remarks using advance access to the prepared text ($172,000 total settlement); the case echoes the July 31 Santos settlement and keeps regulatory scrutiny of the mention-markets product (already voluntarily suspended for sports on August 13) focused on surveillance and integrity rather than the state-preemption litigation track.
- August 28, 2026
On August 28, 2026, the Ninth Circuit (3-0) affirmed the dissolution of Kalshi's Nevada preliminary
On August 28, 2026, the Ninth Circuit (3-0) affirmed the dissolution of Kalshi's Nevada preliminary injunction, holding Kalshi had not shown a likelihood that the CEA preempts Nevada's gaming laws — the first appellate-level loss on the preemption merits, directly conflicting with the Third Circuit's pro-Kalshi Flaherty ruling and sharpening the circuit split both sides now say points toward the Supreme Court (law-kalshi-v-hendrick-nv).
- August 26, 2026
An SEC Form D filed August 26, 2026 shows Kalshi has raised $1.12 billion under an exempt private-securities
An SEC Form D filed August 26, 2026 shows Kalshi has raised $1.12 billion under an exempt private-securities offering opened April 3, 2026, encompassing the $1B Series F announced in May (Coatue-led, with Sequoia, a16z, IVP, Paradigm, Morgan Stanley, and ARK); roughly $380 million of the nearly $1.5 billion notice remains unsold, headroom that lines up with the separately reported, still-unclosed talks for a further raise at a $40 billion valuation.
- August 26, 2026
Connecticut escalated from defense to offense on August 26-27
Connecticut escalated from defense to offense on August 26-27, 2026: AG William Tong and DCP Commissioner Cafferelli filed a new direct suit, State of Connecticut v. KalshiEX LLC, alleging unlicensed sports wagering, underage-gambling exposure, and deceptive marketing under the state's Unfair Trade Practices Act, distinct from the pending federal case Kalshi itself brought against Cafferelli (law-ct-v-kalshi).
- August 21, 2026
In the Nevada Ninth Circuit appeal, Nevada filed briefing on or about August 21, 2026 arguing that Kalshi's
In the Nevada Ninth Circuit appeal, Nevada filed briefing on or about August 21, 2026 arguing that Kalshi's acceptance of North Carolina's new 6% prediction-market revenue tax undercuts its own CEA-preemption theory, calling the distinction between regulating contracts and taxing their revenue "purely a formalism" (law-kalshi-v-hendrick-nv).
- August 20, 2026
The CFTC also set a dedicated
The CFTC also set a dedicated "Prediction Markets: Innovation, Jurisdiction, and the Future of Event Contracts" session for its inaugural Innovation Advisory Committee meeting on August 20 (PR 9283-26), a forward-looking forum rather than a rule or enforcement action.
- August 20, 2026
At the CFTC's August 20 Innovation Advisory Committee session
At the CFTC's August 20 Innovation Advisory Committee session, Kalshi COO Luana Lopes Lara publicly sparred with CME CEO Terrence Duffy over manipulation and compliance-staffing claims, while Chairman Selig signaled the CFTC expects to propose amendments to DCM event-contract listing rules and strengthen retail consumer protections — a forward-looking rulemaking signal rather than a completed action, but the first public indication of the shape a listing-standards NPRM might take.
- August 20, 2026
Ahead of the Washington injunction's August 19 IP-and-residency geofence deadline (law-wa-v-kalshi)
Ahead of the Washington injunction's August 19 IP-and-residency geofence deadline (law-wa-v-kalshi), Kalshi began blocking Washington users from sports, elections, politics, entertainment, culture, technology/science, and mentions contracts by August 20, 2026, leaving commodities, climate, economics, and finance contracts available; the fuller multi-source geofencing system the order also requires remains due September 2.
- August 19, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. announced August 19, 2026 that it will offer institutional block trading in Kalshi's event contracts to its roughly 3,000 institutional clients, acting as introducing broker with Susquehanna Predictions pricing and providing liquidity, and said it expects to add trading venues beyond Kalshi over time — a distribution and institutional-credibility expansion rather than a new license or regulatory filing.
- August 18, 2026
Filed with the CFTC on August 18, 2026 to list two new perpetual futures contracts, US500
Filed with the CFTC on August 18, 2026 to list two new perpetual futures contracts, US500 (tracking the MerQube US Large Cap Index) and COPPERPERP (spot copper via Pyth Network's XCU-USD feed), extending its perpetuals line beyond the crypto-only BTCPERP contract into equity-index and commodity underlyings for the first time and sharpening its direct product overlap with CME Group, which is already suing the CFTC over the BTCPERP approval (law-cme-v-cftc).
- August 18, 2026
Signed a multi-year partnership with Catalist Sports
Signed a multi-year partnership with Catalist Sports (announced August 18, 2026) granting exclusive official live-streaming and data rights across more than 65,000 tennis matches a year, including the World Tennis Tour, the Australian Open, and the Davis Cup — a first-party data play for a sport it already lists heavily.
- August 15, 2026
The Connecticut and Nevada fronts both escalated the week of August 15
The Connecticut and Nevada fronts both escalated the week of August 15: Judge Oliver denied Kalshi's follow-up bid for an emergency injunction pending appeal in Connecticut, prompting an emergency motion to the Second Circuit (law-kalshi-v-cafferelli-ct); separately, past its August 12 Nevada geofencing deadline, NGCB investigators reportedly still purchased prohibited contracts and the Board renewed its push for $120,000/day contempt sanctions, which Kalshi publicly disputed as of August 17 (law-kalshi-v-hendrick-nv) — two parallel state fights reopening just as the settlement/ruling machinery seemed to be resolving them.
- August 13, 2026
Voluntarily suspended sports-category "mention markets" on August 13
Voluntarily suspended sports-category "mention markets" on August 13, 2026 after reports the CFTC was reviewing the product line's manipulation risk in the wake of the Trump teleprompter-operator trading episode; the episode itself was already surfaced via Kalshi's own surveillance and referred to authorities, but the product-level review is a new and distinct exposure from the state-preemption litigation.
- August 13, 2026
On August 13, 2026, King County Superior Court Judge John McHale entered a final order on Washington's
On August 13, 2026, King County Superior Court Judge John McHale entered a final order on Washington's preliminary injunction, requiring Kalshi to geofence the state out of sports, elections, politics, entertainment, culture, technology/science, and "mentions" contracts (commodities, climate, economics, and finance contracts are unaffected) — an IP-and-residency geofence due August 19 and a fuller multi-source system due September 2 — and barring Kalshi from advertising the restricted categories to Washington consumers as an unfair or deceptive practice; the order found Kalshi "willfully ignored" a December 2025 state notice that its contracts were unauthorized.
- August 13, 2026
That same day, Baltimore's mayor and city council sued Kalshi and distribution partners Robinhood, Webull
That same day, Baltimore's mayor and city council sued Kalshi and distribution partners Robinhood, Webull, and Coinbase in Circuit Court for Baltimore City, alleging an unlicensed sportsbook operation under the city's Consumer Protection Ordinance and seeking penalties, restitution, disgorgement, and an injunction — a new city-level track alongside the state and federal suits.
- August 13, 2026
Reported August 13 that the CFTC is reviewing whether Kalshi's "mention markets"
Reported August 13 that the CFTC is reviewing whether Kalshi's "mention markets" (contracts on specific words a public figure will or won't say) are readily susceptible to manipulation, following the July disclosure that Trump's longtime teleprompter operator profited trading them; Kalshi has pulled the sports-mention category "until further notice" while keeping it live for politics, earnings calls, and newscasts, and no formal complaint or rule has been filed.
- August 12, 2026
Kalshi settled with Nevada to geofence the state by August 12 under threat of $120,000/day fines (July 23)
- August 12, 2026
New York City Council Speaker Julie Menin announced an investigation on August 12 into Kalshi's
New York City Council Speaker Julie Menin announced an investigation on August 12 into Kalshi's, Polymarket's, Coinbase's, and Gemini Titan's marketing practices, sending 60-plus-question letters focused on influencer marketing, fabricated-trade depictions, and targeting of minors and addiction-prone users — a consumer-protection front distinct from the state-gambling-law suits, with the Council weighing a hearing and new legislation rather than immediate enforcement.
- August 11, 2026
The federal-state conflict escalated sharply on August 11
The federal-state conflict escalated sharply on August 11: after Kalshi notified the CFTC of a market emergency tied to New York's still-pending state-court TRO request (law-nyag-v-kalshi), the CFTC invoked its Section 8a(9) emergency authority (Release 9281-26) to order KalshiEX to continue operating nationwide under the CEA's Core Principles — a rare tool last used in Kalshi's favor against Michigan in July, and a partial offset to the run of adverse district-court rulings, though it does not resolve the underlying New York case.
- August 10, 2026
Announced a multi-year partnership with Nasdaq Market Surveillance on August 10
Announced a multi-year partnership with Nasdaq Market Surveillance on August 10, 2026, layering Nasdaq's real-time abuse- and manipulation-detection platform onto its existing monitoring and CFTC trade-reporting pipeline — a compliance-infrastructure push that lands the same week as the NY AG suit and CFTC emergency order.
- August 10, 2026
FlightAware sued Kalshi on August 10, 2026 over its use of FlightAware's data and name to settle
FlightAware sued Kalshi on August 10, 2026 over its use of FlightAware's data and name to settle flight-cancellation event contracts; FlightAware voluntarily dismissed the case one day later without a disclosed settlement, after Kalshi had already softened one market's sourcing disclaimer — a quickly resolved data-licensing dispute rather than a lasting exposure.
- August 10, 2026
A third consecutive adverse district-court ruling landed August 10: Judge Vernon
A third consecutive adverse district-court ruling landed August 10: Judge Vernon D. Oliver denied Kalshi's preliminary-injunction bid against Connecticut's DCP, finding its sports contracts unlikely to qualify as CEA swaps and, even if they did, unlikely to preempt the state's gambling-law authority — echoing the swap-definition and preemption reasoning in the recent Utah and Michigan/Coinbase losses.
- August 7, 2026
NPR reported August 7 that Kalshi lists contracts on FDA approval of specific drugs
NPR reported August 7 that Kalshi lists contracts on FDA approval of specific drugs (a weight-loss medication, a breast-cancer treatment); the company says surveillance safeguards limit insider-trading risk, but bioethicists quoted call the framing "ghastly" given the stakes for dependent patients.
- August 7, 2026
The CFTC issued a market-wide letter August 7 (PR 9278-26) telling DCMs and FCMs to stop displaying prices
The CFTC issued a market-wide letter August 7 (PR 9278-26) telling DCMs and FCMs to stop displaying prices in American/moneyline odds format, calling it misleading; recipients have until August 31 to confirm receipt.
- August 6, 2026
A federal judge in Michigan denied Coinbase's bid (Coinbase distributes Kalshi's sports contracts)
A federal judge in Michigan denied Coinbase's bid (Coinbase distributes Kalshi's sports contracts) for a preliminary injunction against state enforcement on August 6, reinforcing the same swap-definition skepticism seen in the Wisconsin and Michigan district rulings against Kalshi directly.
- August 5, 2026
On August 5, 2026, Kalshi signed an official data, marketing, and integrity-services partnership with Genius
On August 5, 2026, Kalshi signed an official data, marketing, and integrity-services partnership with Genius Sports covering real-time soccer data across the EPL, Serie A, Liga MX, Argentine Primera División, and Ligue 1 — the same arrangement Genius Sports already has with Polymarket.
- August 4, 2026
On August 4, Judge Rakoff denied the CFTC/DOJ's TRO bid to halt New York's direct suit, finding no shown
On August 4, Judge Rakoff denied the CFTC/DOJ's TRO bid to halt New York's direct suit, finding no shown likelihood of success or irreparable harm; New York's $36 billion case against Kalshi may now proceed, though the CFTC can renew the request before Judge Marrero on August 7.
- August 4, 2026
That same week, Utah handed Kalshi its first final (non-preliminary) federal loss nationwide: on August 4
That same week, Utah handed Kalshi its first final (non-preliminary) federal loss nationwide: on August 4, Judge Robert Shelby granted Utah summary judgment, rejecting Kalshi's CEA-preemption theories outright; Kalshi filed its notice of appeal to the Tenth Circuit on August 5, extending the preemption fight to a seventh federal circuit.
- August 4, 2026
The Senate Indian Affairs Committee held an August 4 roundtable naming Kalshi and Polymarket repeatedly
The Senate Indian Affairs Committee held an August 4 roundtable naming Kalshi and Polymarket repeatedly over tribal-sovereignty and IGRA-bypass concerns, though neither company sent a witness and no legislation resulted.
- August 3, 2026
Separately, eight Senate Democrats wrote the CFTC on August 3 pressing it to bar wildfire-outcome event
Separately, eight Senate Democrats wrote the CFTC on August 3 pressing it to bar wildfire-outcome event contracts, a new and so-far low-materiality front distinct from the sports/election preemption fights.
- July 31, 2026
The CFTC settled manipulative-trading charges tied to its platform against former
The CFTC settled manipulative-trading charges tied to its platform against former Rep. George Santos on July 31, 2026 (disgorgement, penalty, and a three-year trading ban), and the company now faces a privacy class action (July 9) alongside the multi-state litigation wave.
- July 31, 2026
NY AG Letitia James filed a direct suit seeking roughly $36 billion (July 31)
- July 30, 2026
Also named in the CFTC's new vertical-integration conflict-of-interest NPRM (July 30)
Also named in the CFTC's new vertical-integration conflict-of-interest NPRM (July 30), which targets exchange/market-maker affiliations like Kalshi's own.
- July 29, 2026
A Wisconsin federal court refused to shield Kalshi from state enforcement (July 29)
- July 28, 2026
A 44-state AG coalition sent the CFTC a comment letter (July 28) arguing sports-wagering regulation is a state
A 44-state AG coalition sent the CFTC a comment letter (July 28) arguing sports-wagering regulation is a state, not federal, function.
- July 27, 2026
Judge Torres delivered a second SDNY loss, and the Second Circuit denied a stay in the parallel NY Gaming
Judge Torres delivered a second SDNY loss, and the Second Circuit denied a stay in the parallel NY Gaming Commission case (July 27-28).
- July 21, 2026
A Washington state court issued a preliminary injunction
A Washington state court issued a preliminary injunction (July 21, appealed to the 9th Circuit) finding Kalshi likely ran an illegal gambling operation.
- July 14, 2026
Partial offsets: the CFTC used emergency authority to override a Michigan court order in Kalshi's favor
Partial offsets: the CFTC used emergency authority to override a Michigan court order in Kalshi's favor (July 14), Kalshi won a case blocking Minnesota's statutory ban (July 27), and a new CFTC data-reporting NPRM (June 25) treats event contracts as a distinct, ongoing category rather than a target for elimination.
- July 13, 2026
Launched a free advanced trading terminal, Kalshi Pro, in public beta July 13, and filed to extend
Launched a free advanced trading terminal, Kalshi Pro, in public beta July 13, and filed to extend its perpetual-futures line into gold, silver, and platinum July 21.
- June 24, 2026
Series F raised $1B at a $22B valuation in May 2026
Series F raised $1B at a $22B valuation in May 2026 (Coatue led, Sequoia / a16z / Paradigm / Morgan Stanley / ARK participating); in discussions for a new round at ~$40B valuation as of June 24, 2026 (FT).
- June 24, 2026
Filed its own private preemption suit against Illinois
Filed its own private preemption suit against Illinois (N.D. Ill., June 24, 2026) alongside the CFTC's parallel action; SB 3019 took effect July 1 with the suit still pending.
- June 18, 2026
Entered Canada June 18, 2026 via Wealthsimple Predict (CIRO-authorized), offering ~4,000 contracts to Canadian
Entered Canada June 18, 2026 via Wealthsimple Predict (CIRO-authorized), offering ~4,000 contracts to Canadian investors — its first international broker-dealer partnership.
- June 2026
Annualized volume $178B, revenue $2B (June 2026, up ~3x from Nov 2025)
- June 2026
Talks with Meta about a possible acquisition broke down over valuation and regulatory-complexity concerns
Talks with Meta about a possible acquisition broke down over valuation and regulatory-complexity concerns around late June 2026; Meta built its own play-money app (Arena) instead, though the two companies separately struck a deal to integrate Kalshi into Threads.
- May 18, 2026
Launched crypto perpetual futures (April 2026), executed its first institutional block trade
Launched crypto perpetual futures (April 2026), executed its first institutional block trade (Greenlight / Jump, May 2026), and joined NCPG with a $2M responsible-trading commitment (May 18).
- May 2026
Raised $1B at a $22B valuation (May 2026); targeting ~$40B in a new round (June 2026)
- March 24, 2026
Its affiliate Kinetic Markets LLC registered as a Futures Commission Merchant with the NFA on March 24
Its affiliate Kinetic Markets LLC registered as a Futures Commission Merchant with the NFA on March 24, 2026, the first FCM registration in the sector; a Kalshi Klear rulebook amendment effective April 27, 2026 then enabled margin trading for professional clients, letting them post a fraction of a contract's value as collateral instead of the prior fully-collateralized model.
Regulatory history
Recent activity
Sia Insights
Sia's analysis from broader market, trading, and industry-press signals. Not a primary regulatory source and not legal advice.
- Sep 23, 2026kalshibernsteinvolumefinancial-assetscrypto-perpetuals
Bernstein's September 22 forecast puts Kalshi at 60% of industry volume through August 2026, up from 35% in 2025, with crypto rising from under 5% of its own volume in January to 20% by August and commodity trading reaching $590 million year-to-date. The analysts project the broader category's mix flipping by 2035 — financial-asset contracts (crypto, equities, commodities) growing from 12% to 49% of volume and overtaking sports, which falls from 61% to 38% — a shift Kalshi's own product pipeline (single-stock perpetuals, KPI markets, short-duration bitcoin contracts) is already tracking ahead of the projected curve.
- Sep 21, 2026kalshieth-perpcrypto-perpetualsvolume-reportingmarket-integrity
The ETH-PERP volume dispute is less about whether Kalshi fabricated trades and more about the industry's lack of a standardized volume convention: Kalshi's methodology counts maximum contract payout rather than cash exchanged, the same approach it says Polymarket uses, which can make comparable notional figures look inflated to outside analysts without that context. It is a preview of the scrutiny Kalshi's crypto-perpetuals expansion will keep drawing from both retail critics and, potentially, regulators comparing self-certified reporting conventions across venues as more operators launch competing perpetual products.
- Sep 18, 2026kalshitribal-sovereigntytunica-biloxiigrano-action-letter
Kalshi's Tunica-Biloxi Tribe partnership is a split-the-opposition play as much as a product launch: it converts one tribal government into a distribution partner, via a Kalshi-built app run under a CFTC no-action letter rather than a gaming compact, in the same week a Ninth Circuit panel sided with two other California tribes on the opposite legal theory, that Kalshi's sports contracts are unlicensed Class III gaming under IGRA. Tarek Mansour's open letter urging other tribes to follow reads less like outreach and more like an attempt to fracture a coalition that already includes Ho-Chunk Nation and several New Mexico pueblos in active litigation, offering a revenue-sharing alternative to tribes weighing whether prediction markets are a competitive threat or a new business line.
- Sep 14, 2026kalshiclarity-actprediction-market-pricingcongress
Kalshi's Clarity Act contracts swung sharply into the Senate's Tuesday cloture vote: the before-July-1-2027 passage contract jumped from 26% Thursday to a 64% intraday high before settling near 53% Monday morning, and the before-April-2027 contract roughly doubled from 23% to 45% over the same stretch, tracking Trump's agreement to expanded ethics provisions and Senate Republicans' release of a 'final' bill draft. The volatility is a live demonstration of the case Kalshi has been making to regulators — that its markets function as a real-time gauge of legislative outcomes — playing out on the exact bill whose passage would reshape crypto market structure for its own platform.
- Sep 11, 2026kalshiequity-perpetualsseccftcjurisdictioncitadel-securities
Kalshi said it will seek CFTC approval for roughly 60 single-stock and ETF perpetual futures, including Tesla and Nvidia, that would trade 24/7 with no expiration, a direct extension of the bitcoin-perpetual structure the CFTC approved in May into single-name equities. The plan lands the same week Citadel Securities formally asked the SEC and CFTC to keep equity-linked event contracts under SEC jurisdiction (upd-sec-028), warning that CFTC self-certification would let a Tesla perpetual trade on leverage while Nasdaq is closed or halted; Kalshi's own filing is the concrete product that turns Citadel's warning from an abstract jurisdictional argument into a specific, imminent test case.
- Sep 5, 2026kalshinflcompliancesports-contracts
NFL Chief Compliance Officer Sabrina Perel sent Kalshi and Polymarket a September 4 letter reiterating a spring 2026 warning that they remove four categories of event contracts: those manipulable by a single actor (kicker misses, broadcast mentions), player- and fan-safety-adjacent bets (injuries, misconduct), officiating-outcome bets (penalty counts, replay results), and bets on outcomes already knowable to insiders (roster moves, draft picks). The letter's complaint that flagged contracts "continue to be listed" months after the first warning suggests the earlier round of CFTC-driven removals (Kalshi's and Polymarket's own injury-market pullbacks in late August/early September, upd-cftc-065) only partially satisfied league concerns, and leaves the NFL as the one major US league still withholding the formal partnership MLB and the NHL have already extended to prediction-market operators.
- Sep 4, 2026kalshicrypto-perpetualscmeproduct-launch
Kalshi expanded its "American Perpetuals" lineup on September 4 with five more CFTC-regulated crypto perpetual contracts (BNB, Cardano, Worldcoin, Aave, and Venice Token, at leverage caps of 1.9x-4.5x), bringing its altcoin perpetual roster to 17 with Stellar, Polkadot, and Hedera applications still pending. The timing is notable: the expansion lands the same week the CFTC moved to dismiss CME's lawsuit challenging the underlying BTCPERP approval, and Kalshi is scaling the exact product category CME calls an unlawful end-run around swap regulation, on the theory the CFTC's own dismissal argument — that any DCM, including CME, remains free to compete — validates rather than undercuts the buildout. Separately reported web traffic data (Kalshi's US site visits up roughly 1,500% over the past year) suggests the growth narrative is outrunning the litigation narrative for now, even as the regulatory patchwork above keeps expanding.
- Sep 3, 2026kalshinew-jerseysupreme-courtcircuit-splitmichigan
New Jersey's September 2 certiorari petition is the first Supreme Court filing to squarely present the merits question dividing the circuits, but the base rate for cert grants (roughly 2-4% of petitions filed) means the circuit split itself, not the petition, is doing the real work: the Third Circuit's Flaherty ruling for Kalshi and the Ninth Circuit's Hendrick ruling for Nevada are now in direct, acknowledged conflict on whether sports-event contracts are CEA swaps, which is exactly the fact pattern the Court is likeliest to take up regardless of which side asks first. Kalshi's public posture has been to welcome Supreme Court review as a path to nationwide certainty, but a grant would also freeze the current patchwork (including the September 1 Michigan injunction and the pending Sixth Circuit Ohio/Tennessee appeals) in place for a full term or more, extending rather than resolving the state-by-state compliance costs it has been absorbing all year.
- Aug 31, 2026kalshisantosmarket-integrityus-opensponsorship
Kalshi issued its first-ever permanent trading ban on August 31, barring former Rep. George Santos for life over the same State-of-the-Union mention-market manipulation the CFTC had already settled in July with a three-year ban (enf-cftc-santos-settlement) — an escalation that reads as the platform asserting its own market-integrity authority on a longer timeline than its regulator. The move follows Kalshi locking up an exclusive prediction-market sponsorship of the US Open, barring rival platforms from advertising at the venue or on its ESPN broadcasts, on the heels of marketing deals with five MLB teams. Together the two moves suggest Kalshi is leaning harder into a "legitimate exchange" narrative commercially and reputationally even as its core legal exposure, most recently the August 28 Ninth Circuit loss in Nevada, keeps widening.
- Aug 30, 2026kalshicftcemergency-authoritylegal-commentary
Speaking on the Indian Gaming Association's 'The New Normal' webcast, tribal gaming attorney Scott Crowell said he has "never seen blatant contemptuous disregard by a federal agency" in 50 years of practice, describing the CFTC's pattern of directing Kalshi to keep operating against adverse state and local court orders — first in Michigan in July, then in New York in August — as an unprecedented use of the Commission's authority. The on-record criticism from outside counsel, rather than from a litigant state, signals the CFTC's emergency-authority strategy is drawing scrutiny even from practitioners without a direct stake in the underlying Kalshi cases, which could feed into how skeptically appellate courts weigh the Commission's preemption arguments going forward.
- Aug 28, 2026kalshinevadaninth-circuitvaluationrevenue
Sportico framed the Ninth Circuit's Nevada loss less as a legal setback than a financial one: Kalshi must keep Nevada users locked out of its most popular contract category, sports, indefinitely, denting revenue growth at the exact moment the company is reportedly courting investors for a new round at a $40 billion valuation. The panel's reasoning, that sports outcomes lack the economic-impact nexus needed for CEA "swap" status even if election contracts might qualify, is also the more analytically dangerous thread for Kalshi: it suggests other West Coast courts could carve out sports specifically while leaving Kalshi's broader federal-preemption argument for other verticals intact, rather than an all-or-nothing outcome.
- Aug 27, 2026kalshisportsproduct-launchcftcnfl
Kalshi launched contracts ahead of NFL Week 1 letting traders wager on whether specific athletes will actually take the field, framed as availability rather than injury markets: the contract language never asks users to predict an injury's severity or occurrence, only whether the player participates. That framing is a deliberate hedge against the CFTC's own June NPRM, which would generally bar contracts on player injuries while permitting most other player-performance products, but it lands the same week Connecticut sued Kalshi directly and is unlikely to blunt the integrity objections that led leagues and regulators to resist injury-adjacent sports betting in the first place.
- Aug 26, 2026kalshisecform-dfundraising
An SEC Form D filed August 26 shows Kalshi has actually raised $1.12 billion since April under an exempt offering notice sized at nearly $1.5 billion, with roughly $380 million still unsold. The filing folds in the already-known $1 billion Series F from May but is the first hard confirmation that Kalshi's fundraising capacity already exceeds that round, leaving headroom that roughly matches the separately reported, still-unclosed talks for a further raise at a $40 billion valuation rather than requiring an entirely new offering.
- Aug 25, 2026kalshimlbsponsorshipmarketing
Kalshi has quietly signed sponsorship deals with the Los Angeles Dodgers and Boston Red Sox, two of MLB's three most valuable franchises, without a formal public announcement, per Sportico. The muted rollout follows months of social-media backlash against sports organizations and investors that made a show of unveiling prediction-market tie-ups, suggesting Kalshi is now favoring lower-profile brand integration over splashy launches while its sports-contract legal fight continues in multiple states.
- Aug 22, 2026kalshicatalist-sportspartnershipretraction
A multi-year live-streaming and data-rights deal between Kalshi and Catalist Sports, announced the morning of August 18 and covering more than 65,000 tennis and soccer matches a year, was withdrawn within hours: Catalist's own site link to the agreement stopped working by 11 a.m. that day, and neither company has offered a public explanation. It is the second time in roughly a year a Kalshi partnership announcement has been rescinded shortly after going out, after a 2025 deal with Elon Musk's xAI was similarly walked back, a pattern that raises questions about the company's internal sign-off process for partner announcements even though neither retraction has been tied to a regulatory or compliance issue.
- Aug 20, 2026institutionalcantor-fitzgeraldblock-tradingdistribution
Cantor Fitzgerald's August 19 move to open Kalshi block trading to roughly 3,000 institutional clients, with Susquehanna Predictions pricing the flow, extends a Wall Street-distribution pattern already visible in Interactive Brokers' and Robinhood's unified access to Kalshi contracts, but is the first deal framed explicitly around bank-brokered block trades rather than retail-style order-book access. CNBC and trade press reporting points to hedge funds wanting exposure to specific corporate outcomes (iPhone sales, not Apple's share price) rather than sports or politics, a use case that maps event contracts onto conventional macro and single-name hedging rather than the retail betting narrative that still dominates Kalshi's public image.
- Aug 19, 2026data-rightstennispartnershipproduct-expansion
Kalshi announced a multi-year partnership with Catalist Sports on August 18 giving it exclusive official live-streaming and data rights across more than 65,000 matches a year, including the World Tennis Tour, the Australian Open, and the Davis Cup. Distinct from the same-day CFTC perpetuals filing, the deal is a data-and-content play rather than a product filing, giving Kalshi first-party feeds for a tennis market it already lists heavily and reducing reliance on third-party data vendors for settlement and market design.
- Aug 18, 2026perpetual-futuresproduct-launchequity-indexcftc
Kalshi filed with the CFTC on August 18 to launch perpetual futures tied to equity indexes such as the S&P 500, extending a product line that already covers crypto perps (approved late May) and an attempted precious-metals expansion in July. Because broad-based equity-index products fall under CFTC rather than SEC jurisdiction, the filing lets Kalshi compete directly with CME and Cboe on leveraged index exposure without triggering securities-registration review, reinforcing the read that the company is positioning itself as a multi-asset exchange rather than a sports-and-politics specialist.
- Aug 15, 2026white-housepolicymention-marketscftc
Reports on August 14 named CEO Tarek Mansour among the invitees to an August 19 White House meeting on crypto and prediction-market policy at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, alongside Coinbase, Ripple, Robinhood, CME Group, Crypto.com, and Polymarket, one day before the CFTC's own inaugural Innovation Advisory Committee session on prediction markets. Landing the same week the CFTC began reviewing Kalshi's sports mention-markets over manipulation concerns, an invitation to sit across from the administration reads as a counterweight signal, framing Kalshi as a policy stakeholder even as it absorbs its first product-level federal scrutiny.
- Aug 10, 2026nasdaqsurveillancecompliancemarket-structure
Kalshi announced a multi-year Nasdaq Market Surveillance partnership on August 10, adding real-time abuse- and manipulation-detection to its existing monitoring and CFTC trade-reporting pipeline. The timing is notable: it lands the same week New York's AG sued for $36B alleging an illegal gambling operation and days before the CFTC invoked emergency authority to keep Kalshi trading nationwide, reinforcing the same Nasdaq-style, regulated-exchange narrative the company has been building since its Comply partnership (ai-kalshi-20260807) even as the state-federal jurisdictional fight, not surveillance quality, remains its central legal exposure.
- Aug 9, 2026insider-tradingtrump-mediatruthpredictconflict-of-interest
Fortune reported August 9 that Trump Media is building a TruthPredict prediction-market platform while separately selling Wall Street firms paid, faster access to Truth Social posts (including the president's own) through a new Truth API, a combination that risks creating exactly the kind of pre-public information edge prediction-market surveillance exists to catch. The piece also notes Donald Trump Jr. is a paid strategic advisor to Kalshi and sits on Polymarket's advisory board, while stressing there is no public evidence he has traded on privileged information; Kalshi points to its daily CFTC trade reporting and points to referrals like the Santos and former White House teleprompter-operator cases as proof its surveillance works, but the Trump Media structure sits squarely in the gap between platform-level compliance and family-level conflicts of interest.
- Aug 8, 2026clinical-trialsfdainsider-trading-risk
NPR reported August 7 that Kalshi now lists contracts on whether specific drugs, including a weight-loss medication and a breast-cancer treatment, will win FDA approval and by what date, with Polymarket running comparable markets on cancer treatments and a Chinese-peptide import question. Kalshi argues the contracts surface useful investment signal and points to employment-verification and surveillance safeguards against insider trading, but bioethicists quoted in the piece call the framing "ghastly" given how directly trial outcomes affect dependent patients — a reputational exposure distinct from, but compounding, the company's existing state-preemption fights.
- Aug 7, 2026compliancecomply-partnershipinstitutional
Kalshi partnered with compliance-tech provider Comply on August 4 to let financial firms monitor employees' Kalshi positions for material-non-public-information conflicts alongside their existing equities surveillance, with CEO Tarek Mansour drawing an explicit comparison to Nasdaq-style market infrastructure. Landing just days after New York AG Letitia James's roughly $36B illegal-gambling suit, the timing reads as a deliberate push to reinforce a regulated-exchange narrative with institutional compliance teams even as state legal pressure intensifies.
- Aug 6, 2026app-retentionsportsbook-comparisonapptopia
Mobile-analytics firm Apptopia published a report on August 5 examining new-user retention across DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, and Kalshi, framed around the question of whether Kalshi is pulling users away from incumbent sportsbooks and how usage compares between states where sports betting is legal versus illegal. The framing itself is telling: a third-party analytics shop is now treating Kalshi as a direct retention competitor to licensed sportsbooks rather than a separate financial-exchange category, which is exactly the characterization Kalshi's legal defense in cases like law-kalshi-v-utah is built to resist.
- Aug 4, 2026volumeworld-cupmarket-share
Combined Kalshi/Polymarket monthly volume hit a record $50.59B in July, per data published August 3, with Kalshi alone accounting for $37.7B, up 14% month-over-month and now roughly 74.5% of tracked combined volume. The World Cup drove much of the surge (Kalshi's Spain-Argentina final market alone traded $1.9B), but open interest across the tracked platforms nearly halved by month-end, from about $2B to $1.2B, once the tournament ended — a reminder that Kalshi's scale is still heavily event-driven rather than fully diversified.
- Aug 1, 2026distributionchrome-web-storeplatform-risk
Google's updated Chrome Web Store policy, published July 1 and enforced starting today, explicitly bars extensions that facilitate real-money transactions on predictive outcomes — putting the browser-extension cottage industry built around Kalshi and Polymarket trading at risk of removal. It is a quieter but broader-reach threat than any single state suit: a distribution-layer chokepoint neither company's federal DCM registration does anything to protect against.
- Jul 31, 2026volumerevenueipo
Kalshi's trailing 30-day volume hit roughly $40B by July 8, more than double the prior period, powered by World Cup markets (over $13.8B) and a parlay mix now near 38% of flow; Sacra estimates annualized revenue near $3.5B in June, up nearly 5x from December. With informal IPO conversations already underway per prior reporting, the growth curve increasingly reads as scale-driven exchange economics rather than a single-event spike.
Scoring is illustrative and based on public information. SiaPredict does not provide legal advice.
